You probably noticed on my twitter account I often publish a PrintScreen with late goals.
What is the secret underneath it? It is a pure probability, based on timing goal scores statistics.
If we look at the statistics from the major European leagues, they have one common thread. Just look at the graph below:
The quoted statistics clearly show that many more goals are scored at the end of the game than in the first minutes of the game. And looking objectively, it is logical. At the end of the game, the players are quite tired and the defenders make more and more mistakes. The changes in the line-up usually concern offensive players who, entering the square for the last several minutes, have a considerable physical advantage over-exhausted defenders. Also, usually in the last minutes the game opens, one or the other team chases the score and often puts everything on one card, which is not always successful for them.
How you can benefit from it?
Simply lay the current score on the CS market in the last 10-15 minutes.
However, the most important factor would be to lay below 2.0 odds.
My best experience is with odds below 1.5.
additional sources:
Timing of Goals Scored in Selected European and South American Soccer Leagues, FIFA and UEFA Tournaments and the Critical Phases of a Match
