Since the beginning of the year, I have tested for you the HTLTD method so it is time to highlight the results. (you can read more about it here). All the trades you could have tracked on my Twitter account. I have selected over 250 games from cgmbet tool during this period time.

My strike rate for those 203 trades was 67%, which is equal to 1,49 if we converted to implied odds. As you can notice my avg win was 0,51, which in a nutshell gives me an edge long term, as it is above 0,49. In other words, If I set up the same method set & forget by placing a bet on 1,51 on over 0,5 FHG I should get similar results.

The longest losing streak was 5 trades, which seems to be in the range of samples data:

1% ROI is not the best, but if you add all values to the risk of ruin calculator it should show long term positive outcomes, however, it will take time:

When you have 200 or 300 trades you should consider tightening your filters or changing the approach based on the gathered data, if you like to improve. To make it more simple for you, I will use the same filters, but I will change my entry point and make it a set & forget system. According to my data avg FHG time is around 25min, so if I place a bet in about 23 mins, when odds equal to 2, then I should get a bit better results.

From tomorrow I will bet on over0,5 FHG when odds reach 2 before 23min. After another 200 bets, I will show the results to you.

Appendix: recorded data HTLTD