In April I have tested for you Lay Under 2.5 goals (LU25) method so it is time to highlights the results. (you can read more about it here)
All the bets you could have tracked on my Twitter account. As I was lack of time, I did only 29 samples, and a few of them at the beginning of May.
My strike rate for those 29 bets was a decent 41,4%. I would expect a correction, which you can notice on the chart that just had started at the end of the trial period.
The longest losing streak was 6 bets, but you should expect more, like up to 10 or even more.
Let’s compare the results to the statistical data for the last few years.
From the first PrintScreen, you could have noticed that my avg entry time was 25min and my avg entry LU25 was 1,49, and the strike rate 41,4%. Based on n the statistical data I should have been close to a 32,7% strike rate on the O2.5 Goals market at 25min. It means that my totally random selection was better than good. Keep in mind that it is still very small data, but at least you know what you should expect with the entry point I have selected.
If you are the trader/punter that takes into account also in-play stats, please focus on the price entry which is in my opinion the main key (it is just math!) A combination of those two could give you even better results long term.
Finally do not forget to check frequently the values on the risk of ruin simulator, as your main aim is to avoid bankruptcy:
I have many new followers who focus on my tipping bets, even though I did not prove earlier than this LU25@25min is profitable. I hope you do not follow anyone blindly, and you focus on the learning process.
Appendix: recorded data (all the 29 games outcomes)